Investment Insights
30.7.2025

Smart Protection: Trade Ideas

Sunil Garg
Managing Director - Chief Investment Officer

It's tempting to be complacent - despite tariffs and the uncertainty, equity indices are in new high ground - as goldilocks go, this doesn't get any better - but the old adage is "buy insurance when you can, not when you need it".

Vols are definitely depressed, making insurance cheap- but is there a smarter (and cheaper) way to buy insurance? In a world of put-call parity, there is no free lunch – but a lower upfront cost is certainly achievable (approx.. 34% lower for SPY and 39% for QQQ for a 97% protection). As with any insurance, there are trade-offs – this strategy is focused on lower upfront costs and more mindful of downside risk protection.

  • Priced for both QQQ and SPY. While the examples below are priced for approx. 1 year expiry, trades can be structured for bespoke maturities. Execution efficiency/ liquidity will all play a role.

  • Structure is based on listed options offering full flexibility (no lock in) and unlike some structured products, not conditional on other variables.

  • While this mimics the pay-off of a long put structure, our focus is on protecting downside at a lower upfront cost, with a view that upside is limited .  

Trade Set Up

Table showing a bear call spread trade details: Long Put 620, Short Call 630, Net Debit $20, 3.1% cost.

source: Lighthouse Canton

Arguments For & Against

Breakeven is 0.7% higher (vs. traditional long put).

source: Lighthouse Canton

SPY - SUMMARY

Break-even 636.9, Delta 100, Stock + Put 4.8%, 65, 60, 3.1%.

source: Lighthouse Canton

SPY - Payoff

Blue probability chart showing a range from $540 to $860 with a central peak at $700.

source: Lighthouse Canton

SPY - Premium & Payoff Comparison

Call spread strike prices and premiums displayed in a table.

Spy levels chart showing stock and put options percentages.

source: Lighthouse Canton

QQQ - SUMMARY

415days (13.5mths) Stock + Protection options table.

source: Lighthouse Canton

QQQ - Payoff

Probability chart showing stock price range and key metrics.

source: Lighthouse Canton

QQQ - Premium & Payoff Comparison

Strike price comparison chart showing put options: 568.14, 550.00, 550/570 with 18-Sep-26 expiry and premiums.

QQQ levels chart showing stock percentage changes: -20.8% to 23.2%.

source: Lighthouse Canton

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